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May 24, 2025
Over 2.5 Goals
Krasnodar (1st in the league) and Dinamo Moskva (3rd) both demonstrate strong attacking metrics. Krasnodar averages 2.0 goals/match in their last 5 league games, while Dinamo averages 1.8 goals/match. Both teams have conceded defensively vulnerable goals (Krasnodar: 0.82 GA/match, Dinamo: 1.28 GA/match). Recent H2H matches show a high-scoring trend (4/5 last meetings had Over 2.5 goals). Krasnodar's xG (10 goals in last 5 matches) and Dinamo's set-piece vulnerability (6 goals conceded from set-pieces) further support this. Key attackers Córdoba (11 goals) and Gladyshev (10 goals) are in form. The 1.66 odd offers value given the 65% statistical probability.
Bookmaker
1xbet
⚽
May 24, 2025
Over 3.0 Goals
Spartak Moskva (5th) enters with strong attacking momentum, averaging 1.8 goals/game in their last 5 home matches. Khimki (11th) has conceded 9 goals in their last 3 away games, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Spartak's xG of 1.92/game vs Khimki's xGA of 1.78/game suggests high scoring potential. Khimki's recent matches averaged 3.4 total goals, with 4/5 last H2H meetings exceeding 3 goals. Key factors: Spartak's home advantage (68% possession dominance), Khimki's fatigue (3 defenders played >85% minutes in last 5), and tactical openness in a season-ending match with minimal stakes for both teams.
Bookmaker
Pinnacle
⚽
May 24, 2025
Over 2.5 Goals
Zenit's recent form (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5 matches) demonstrates high offensive output, averaging 2.2 goals/game, with multiple 3+ goal performances. Akhmat Grozny has conceded in 8/10 away matches, including 3+ goals in 4 of those. Zenit's xG (1.8/game) and shot volume (9 corners vs Rostov) indicate sustained attacking pressure. Tactically, Zenit's possession dominance (56-74% in recent games) against Akhmat's vulnerable defensive structure (35-46% away possession, 1.7 goals conceded/game) creates high-probability scoring scenarios. Historical H2H shows Zenit scoring 3+ goals in 4/5 recent encounters. Match motivation (Zenit chasing title, Akhmat safe from relegation) favors open play.
Bookmaker
1xbet
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